Atlantic hurricane season officially start on June 1 , but the sea and atmosphere are paying the calendar no paying attention . A swirl of cloud and thunderstorms off the Florida coast has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropic storm in the next 48 hour , according to the National Hurricane Center .
That would make it the first tropic storm of 2019 , and and though it ’s not likely to become a blockbuster storm or bear upon the U.S. , Bermuda could still get a ready blast of wind and rain .
justly now , the storm is just a comma - shaped mess of thunderstorms swirling roughly 800 miles off Florida ’s coast . But the National Hurricane Center pronounce on Monday afternoon that “ precondition are expect to be conducive for the formation of a semitropic or tropical cyclone later today or tonight . ” The agency also said a Hurricane Hunter aircraft was en path to visit the kerfuffle and see how well - organize it was .
Gif: Earth Wind Map
If the scientist aboard the Hurricane Hunter find winds in inordinateness of 39 mph , the minimum wind threshold for tropic tempest , the tempest could become Andrea , the first cite storm of the time of year . Assuming the storm does indeed go along the malarky mental test , scientists will then face at other characteristics , like whether its core group is warm or insensate and the nature of upper grade steer , to find out whether Andrea is formally a tropical storm or a subtropic tempest .
It would mark the 2nd year in a wrangle that the first named storm of hurricane season happened before the prescribed June 1 start date . Last class , Subtropical Storm Albertoformed in the Gulf of Mexicoin recent May , finally form landfall in the U.S. where it bizarrely became a tropic low — a process that usually pass off over warm water , not body politic — after which it migrated inland to make asecond “ landfall”on the shore of Lake Michigan .
The current disturbance will pose no menace to the U.S. , though . And a cold front is likely to scoop up the organisation on Tuesday , give Andrea a very short shelf life as a named tempest . But advert or not , Bermuda could face some encroachment . The NHC discourage that “ [ i]nterests in Bermuda should supervise the progression of this system . ”
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration isthree days awayfrom issuing its hurricane time of year forecast , but it could already have one violent storm under its belt by the time it comes out .
Update : Well , it ’s prescribed . On Monday night , Subtropical Storm Andrea work packing tip of 40 miles per hour . The storm is expect to sabotage on Tuesday .
hurricane season
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